Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 31.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Albans City would win this match.