National League South | Gameweek 6
Aug 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Longmead Stadium

Tonbridge Angels
1 - 2
St Albans City

Fagg (22')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Stanley (9'), Isaac (81')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Tonbridge Angels and St Albans City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tonbridge Angels

Last Six:
Last Game: Braintree 2-0 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in National League South

St Albans City

Last Six:
Last Game: St Albans City 0-0 Taunton Town
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 31.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Albans City would win this match.

Result
Tonbridge AngelsDrawSt Albans City
31.8% (-0.336 -0.34)27.3% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)40.9% (0.354 0.35)
Both teams to score 49.21% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.83% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)56.17% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.77% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)77.23% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.4% (-0.24300000000001 -0.24)32.6% (0.245 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.86% (-0.274 -0.27)69.14% (0.27500000000001 0.28)
St Albans City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.01% (0.187 0.19)26.99% (-0.186 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.67% (0.245 0.24)62.33% (-0.243 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Tonbridge Angels 31.8%
    St Albans City 40.9%
    Draw 27.3%
Tonbridge AngelsDrawSt Albans City
1-0 @ 9.86% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 7.24% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.53% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
3-1 @ 2.7% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.07% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.77% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 31.8%
1-1 @ 12.91% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.8% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.74% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.3%
0-1 @ 11.52% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.46% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 7.55% (0.084 0.08)
1-3 @ 3.69% (0.036 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.3% (0.053 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.07% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.21% (0.018 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.08% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 40.9%

Head to Head
May 7, 2022 3pm
St Albans City
2-3
Tonbridge Angels
Clark (13'), Goddard (19')
Bender (3' og.), Coombes (42'), Turner (72' pen.)
Nov 30, 2021 7.45pm
Tonbridge Angels
0-0
St Albans City
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Tonbridge Angels
P-P
St Albans City
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
St Albans City
3-1
Tonbridge Angels
Weiss (17'), Miles (70' og.), Jeffers (77' pen.)
Turner (6')
Apr 4, 2020 3pm
St Albans City
P-P
Tonbridge Angels