Dover Athletic
National League South | Gameweek 3
Aug 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Perrys Crabble Stadium

Dover Athletic
1 - 2
Tonbridge Angels

Higgs (7')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Tyreece-Walters (19'), Turner (56' pen.)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Dover Athletic and Tonbridge Angels.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 30.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Dover Athletic win was 1-0 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tonbridge Angels would win this match.

Result
Dover AthleticDrawTonbridge Angels
30.95% (-1.843 -1.84)26.16% (-0.528 -0.53)42.89% (2.373 2.37)
Both teams to score 52.38% (0.991 0.99)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.03% (1.576 1.58)51.97% (-1.573 -1.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.29% (1.346 1.35)73.71% (-1.344 -1.34)
Dover Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.96% (-0.459 -0.46)31.04% (0.463 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.64% (-0.543 -0.54)67.36% (0.54599999999999 0.55)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.95% (1.931 1.93)24.05% (-1.929 -1.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.68% (2.677 2.68)58.32% (-2.674 -2.67)
Score Analysis
    Dover Athletic 30.95%
    Tonbridge Angels 42.88%
    Draw 26.16%
Dover AthleticDrawTonbridge Angels
1-0 @ 8.73% (-0.679 -0.68)
2-1 @ 7.28% (-0.237 -0.24)
2-0 @ 5.11% (-0.467 -0.47)
3-1 @ 2.84% (-0.129 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.02% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.99% (-0.21 -0.21)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 30.95%
1-1 @ 12.44% (-0.24 -0.24)
0-0 @ 7.46% (-0.479 -0.48)
2-2 @ 5.19% (0.121 0.12)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.16%
0-1 @ 10.63% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
1-2 @ 8.87% (0.317 0.32)
0-2 @ 7.58% (0.364 0.36)
1-3 @ 4.21% (0.371 0.37)
0-3 @ 3.6% (0.358 0.36)
2-3 @ 2.46% (0.188 0.19)
1-4 @ 1.5% (0.206 0.21)
0-4 @ 1.28% (0.19 0.19)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 42.88%