Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 56.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Cheshunt had a probability of 21.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Cheshunt win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.