National League South | Gameweek 6
Aug 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns
Concord Rangers

Chelmsford City
1 - 0
Concord Rangers

Ruff (10')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Concord Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelmsford City

Last Six:
Last Game: Welling United 1-2 Chelmsford City
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in National League South

Concord Rangers

Last Six:
Last Game: Concord Rangers 1-2 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 56.69%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 19.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Concord Rangers win it was 0-1 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chelmsford City in this match.

Result
Chelmsford CityDrawConcord Rangers
56.69% (-1.2 -1.2)23.52% (0.44 0.44)19.78% (0.756 0.76)
Both teams to score 49.76% (-0.106 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.84% (-0.776 -0.78)50.16% (0.77099999999999 0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.87% (-0.693 -0.69)72.12% (0.688 0.69)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.5% (-0.709 -0.71)17.49% (0.703 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.01% (-1.244 -1.24)47.98% (1.239 1.24)
Concord Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.31% (0.383 0.38)39.69% (-0.388 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.63% (0.354 0.35)76.36% (-0.35899999999999 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Chelmsford City 56.69%
    Concord Rangers 19.78%
    Draw 23.52%
Chelmsford CityDrawConcord Rangers
1-0 @ 12.1% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 10.55% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
3-0 @ 6.13% (-0.241 -0.24)
3-1 @ 5.67% (-0.161 -0.16)
4-0 @ 2.67% (-0.17 -0.17)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.47% (-0.13 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.048 -0.05)
5-0 @ 0.93% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 56.69%
1-1 @ 11.18% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 6.94% (0.214 0.21)
2-2 @ 4.51% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 23.52%
0-1 @ 6.42% (0.263 0.26)
1-2 @ 5.17% (0.148 0.15)
0-2 @ 2.96% (0.151 0.15)
1-3 @ 1.59% (0.062 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.39% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 0.91% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 19.78%

Head to Head
May 3, 2022 7.45pm
Chelmsford City
1-1
Concord Rangers
Rush (90+1')
Dunne (68')
Blanchfield (41')
Dec 28, 2021 3pm
Concord Rangers
1-3
Chelmsford City
Reynolds (2')
James (42'), Blackwell (53'), Gregory (86')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Concord Rangers
0-0
Chelmsford City
Feb 22, 2021 7.45pm
Chelmsford City
P-P
Concord Rangers
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
Chelmsford City
1-1
Concord Rangers
Wraight (41')
Brown (19')
Sheriff (20' pen.)