National League South | Gameweek 4

Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK

The Hawthorns

Chelmsford City
3 - 1
Weymouth

Blackwell (18', 34'), Jones (90+5')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Blair (51')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Weymouth.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 53.19%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Weymouth had a probability of 21.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Weymouth win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.

Result
Chelmsford City	Draw	Weymouth
53.19% ( 0.01)	24.88% ( 0.01)	21.92% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 48.77% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.96% (

-0.03)

53.03% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.37% (

-0.03)

74.62% (

0.03)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.09% (

-0.01)

19.91% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.96% (

-0.02)

52.04% (

0.02)

Weymouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.89% (

-0.03)

39.11% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.17% (

-0.03)

75.82% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Chelmsford City 53.19%

Weymouth 21.92%

Draw 24.87%

Chelmsford City	Draw	Weymouth
1-0 @ 12.56% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.46% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.12% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 2.07% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.74% Total : 53.19%	1-1 @ 11.79% 0-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( -0) Other @ 0.83% Total : 24.87%	0-1 @ 7.31% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.54% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.43% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.73% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 1.44% Total : 21.92%