National League South | Gameweek 4
Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK
Court Place Farm
Concord Rangers

Oxford City
5 - 0
Concord Rangers

Muchechetere (1', 26'), Lolas (14', 77'), Fischer (86')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Oxford City and Concord Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford City

Last Six:
Last Game: St Albans City 0-1 Oxford City
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in National League South

Concord Rangers

Last Six:
Last Game: Concord Rangers 1-1 Dulwich Hamlet
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 59.85%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 18.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Concord Rangers win it was 1-2 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.

Result
Oxford CityDrawConcord Rangers
59.85% (-0.301 -0.3)21.31% (0.099 0.1)18.83% (0.202 0.2)
Both teams to score 55.26% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.95% (-0.126 -0.13)42.04% (0.127 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.55% (-0.125 -0.13)64.44% (0.12599999999999 0.13)
Oxford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.33% (-0.133 -0.13)13.66% (0.132 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.14% (-0.263 -0.26)40.85% (0.26499999999999 0.26)
Concord Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64% (0.146 0.15)36% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.22% (0.148 0.15)72.78% (-0.14800000000001 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Oxford City 59.85%
    Concord Rangers 18.83%
    Draw 21.31%
Oxford CityDrawConcord Rangers
2-1 @ 9.96% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 9.79% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.74% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.61% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-0 @ 6.47% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 3.29% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.22% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.68% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.31% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.28% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 59.85%
1-1 @ 10% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.09% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.92% (0.028 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.31%
1-2 @ 5.11% (0.044 0.04)
0-1 @ 5.02% (0.049 0.05)
0-2 @ 2.57% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.74% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.73% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 18.83%

Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Concord Rangers
1-2
Oxford City
Babalola (55')
Iaciofano (20'), Ashby (45')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Oxford City
3-3
Concord Rangers
Harmon (2'), Rowan (53'), Ashby (67')
Pollock (21'), Peck (80'), Reid (85')
Apr 30, 2021 11pm
Concord Rangers
0-0
Oxford City
Mar 2, 2021 7.45pm
Oxford City
P-P
Concord Rangers
Mar 31, 2020 7.45pm
Concord Rangers
P-P
Oxford City