National League South | Gameweek 5

Aug 27, 2022 at 3pm UK

Park View Road

Welling United
1 - 2
Chelmsford City

Maloney (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Jackson (67', 81')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Welling United and Chelmsford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 50.4%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 25.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.63%). The likeliest Welling United win was 1-0 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.

Result
Welling United	Draw	Chelmsford City
25.34% ( -1.16)	24.26% ( 0.01)	50.4% ( 1.16)

Both teams to score 54.52% (

-1.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.67% (

-0.96)

47.33% (

0.96)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.45% (

-0.9)

69.55% (

0.9)

Welling United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.14% (

-1.45)

32.86% (

1.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.57% (

-1.64)

69.43% (

1.64)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.2% (

0.09)

18.81% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.77% (

0.15)

50.23% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Welling United 25.34%

Chelmsford City 50.4%

Draw 24.25%

Welling United	Draw	Chelmsford City
1-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.24) 2-0 @ 3.83% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.47% Total : 25.34%	1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.25%	0-1 @ 10.32% ( 0.43) 1-2 @ 9.6% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 8.63% ( 0.39) 1-3 @ 5.35% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 4.81% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 2.23% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 2.01% ( 0.1) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.23% Total : 50.4%