National League South | Gameweek 7
Sep 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns
Havant & Waterlooville

Chelmsford City
3 - 4
Havant & W'ville

Lodovica (26'), Ruff (43'), Jackson (52' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-2)
Roberts (23' pen.), Oastler (34'), McCarthy (57'), Prior (85')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Havant & Waterlooville.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelmsford City

Last Six:
Last Game: Chelmsford City 1-0 Concord Rangers
Monday, August 29 at 3pm in National League South

Havant & Waterlooville

Last Six:
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 1-0 Farnborough Town
Monday, August 29 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Havant & Waterlooville had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Havant & Waterlooville win was 0-1 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Chelmsford CityDrawHavant & Waterlooville
40.97% (0.601 0.6)27.46% (0.184 0.18)31.57% (-0.79 -0.79)
Both teams to score 48.67% (-0.795 -0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.18% (-0.89 -0.89)56.82% (0.887 0.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.25% (-0.718 -0.72)77.75% (0.714 0.71)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.75% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)27.25% (0.086000000000002 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.32% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)62.68% (0.111 0.11)
Havant & Waterlooville Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.9% (-1.012 -1.01)33.1% (1.007 1.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.31% (-1.132 -1.13)69.69% (1.128 1.13)
Score Analysis
    Chelmsford City 40.97%
    Havant & Waterlooville 31.57%
    Draw 27.45%
Chelmsford CityDrawHavant & Waterlooville
1-0 @ 11.72% (0.36 0.36)
2-1 @ 8.43% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.62% (0.219 0.22)
3-1 @ 3.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.3% (0.087 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.19% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.07% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 40.97%
1-1 @ 12.96% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 9.02% (0.302 0.3)
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.45%
0-1 @ 9.97% (0.065 0.06)
1-2 @ 7.17% (-0.171 -0.17)
0-2 @ 5.51% (-0.118 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.64% (-0.139 -0.14)
0-3 @ 2.03% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 31.57%

Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Havant & W'ville
2-1
Chelmsford City
Wall (52'), Payne (70' pen.)
Blackwell (74')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Chelmsford City
2-3
Havant & W'ville
Jackson (21', 90')
McCarthy (59', 62', 70')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Chelmsford City
P-P
Havant & W'ville
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Havant & W'ville
3-1
Chelmsford City
Wright (19', 63', 66')
Sheringham (82')
Apr 25, 2020 3pm
Chelmsford City
P-P
Havant & W'ville