National League South | Gameweek 4

Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK

Westleigh Park

Havant & W'ville
4 - 2
Dover Athletic

Fall (16', 38' pen.), McCarthy (52'), Roberts (74')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Pavey (25'), Carney (85')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Havant & Waterlooville and Dover Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 57.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 20.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Havant & Waterlooville would win this match.

Result
Havant & Waterlooville	Draw	Dover Athletic
57.14% ( -0.22)	22.69% ( 0.48)	20.17% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 52.95% (

-1.98)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.79% (

-2.43)

46.21% (

2.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.5% (

-2.34)

68.5% (

2.33)

Havant & Waterlooville Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.07% (

-0.91)

15.93% (

0.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.81% (

-1.7)

45.19% (

1.7)

Dover Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.99% (

-1.66)

37.01% (

1.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.2% (

-1.68)

73.8% (

1.68)

Score Analysis

Havant & Waterlooville 57.14%

Dover Athletic 20.17%

Draw 22.69%

Havant & Waterlooville	Draw	Dover Athletic
1-0 @ 10.83% ( 0.77) 2-0 @ 9.95% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 6.05% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.25) 4-0 @ 2.8% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.19) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.16) 5-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.31% Total : 57.14%	1-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.3) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.59) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.24) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.69%	0-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.68% Total : 20.17%