National League South | Gameweek 12
Oct 30, 2021 at 3pm UK
Melbourne Stadium
Havant & Waterlooville

Chelmsford City
2 - 3
Havant & W'ville

Jackson (21', 90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
McCarthy (59', 62', 70')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Havant & Waterlooville.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 46.36%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 28.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 1-0 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Havant & Waterlooville would win this match.

Result
Chelmsford CityDrawHavant & Waterlooville
28.49%25.14%46.36%
Both teams to score 54.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.12%48.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.02%70.98%
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.78%31.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.43%67.57%
Havant & Waterlooville Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.89%21.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.06%53.94%
Score Analysis
    Chelmsford City 28.49%
    Havant & Waterlooville 46.36%
    Draw 25.14%
Chelmsford CityDrawHavant & Waterlooville
1-0 @ 7.67%
2-1 @ 6.95%
2-0 @ 4.47%
3-1 @ 2.7%
3-2 @ 2.1%
3-0 @ 1.73%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 28.49%
1-1 @ 11.93%
0-0 @ 6.59%
2-2 @ 5.4%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.14%
0-1 @ 10.25%
1-2 @ 9.28%
0-2 @ 7.97%
1-3 @ 4.81%
0-3 @ 4.13%
2-3 @ 2.8%
1-4 @ 1.87%
0-4 @ 1.61%
2-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 46.36%