National League South Gameweek 12
Oct 8, 2022 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT The Perrys Crabble Stadium
  • Chike Kandi 23' goal
  • Luke Baptiste 56' goal
  • Alfie Pavey 64' goal
  • goal Baris Altintop 80'

Dover Athletic vs Braintree Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Dover Athletic

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Sep 27, 2022 7.45pm
Welling United 1 - 1 Dover Athletic
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Luke Wanadio

Braintree Town

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Sep 27, 2022 7.45pm
Braintree 1 - 0 St Albans City
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Aaron Blair

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dover Athletic win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Braintree Town had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dover Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Braintree Town win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dover Athletic would win this match.

Result

Dover Athletic 39.87% (-0.24)
Draw 25.82% (-0.06)
Braintree Town 34.31% (+0.30)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.59% (+0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.4% (+0.32)
Under 2.5 49.6% (-0.31)
Over 3.5 28.38% (+0.28)
Under 3.5 71.62% (-0.28)

Dover Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 75.48% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 24.52% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 41.01% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 58.99% (-0.03)

Braintree Town Goals

Over 0.5 72.33% (+0.34)
Under 0.5 27.67% (-0.33)
Over 1.5 36.78% (+0.43)
Under 1.5 63.22% (-0.42)

Score analysis

Dover Athletic 39.87%
Draw 25.81%
Braintree Town 34.31%
Dover Athletic
1-0 @ 9.54% (-0.12)
2-1 @ 8.61% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 6.7% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 4.04% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.14% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.59% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.1% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 39.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.25% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.79% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.53% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.11% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.81%
Braintree Town
0-1 @ 8.72% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 7.87% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 5.6% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.37% (+0.06)
0-3 @ 2.4% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.37% (+0.04)
1-4 @ 1.08% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 34.31%

Head to Head

National League Gameweek 43
Mar 2, 2019 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Perrys Crabble Stadium (Dover, Kent)
  • Alfie Pavey 18' goal
  • Kevin Lokko 46' yellowcard
  • Jai Reason 57' goal
  • Mitch Brundle 72' goal
  • redcard Ricky Gabriel 5'
  • yellowcard Callum Morton 75'
National League Gameweek 21
Oct 27, 2018 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Ironmongery Direct Stadium (Braintree, Essex)
  • Justin Amaluzor 13' goal
  • Kodi Lyons-Foster 17' yellowcard
  • Reece Grant 78' goal
  • goal Kevin Lokko 68'
National League
Apr 8, 2017 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Michael Cheek 7' goal
  • Craig Braham-Barrett 67' redcard
  • yellowcard Sam Magri 17'
  • goal Connor Essam 64'
  • goal Ricky Miller 89'
National League
Oct 22, 2016 3.00pm
6
1
HT : 5 1
FT
  • Aswad Thomas 18' goal
  • Ricky Miller 22' goal
  • Ricky Miller 26' goal
  • Ricky Miller 33' goal
  • Jack Parkinson 40' goal
  • Ricky Miller 48' goal
  • goal Sam Matthews 12'
  • yellowcard Sam Matthews 57'
  • yellowcard Jon Ashton 61'
National League
Oct 13, 2015 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Michael Cheek 45' goal
  • Michael Cheek 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jaydon Gibbs 18'
  • yellowcard Nicky Deverdics 35'
  • yellowcard Tyrone Sterling 44'
National League
Sep 15, 2015 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Duane Ofori-Acheampong 65' yellowcard
  • Jack Parkinson 83' redcard
  • Liam Bellamy 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sam Habergham 45'
  • yellowcard Kenny Davis 80'
  • yellowcard Anthony Edgar 84'