National League South Gameweek 11
Sep 27, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Park View Road
  • Immanuel Parry 77' goal
  • goal Chike Kandi 81'

Welling United vs Dover Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Welling United

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Sep 24, 2022 3.00pm
Welling United 2 - 2 Havant & W'ville
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Adebayo Azeez

Dover Athletic

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Sep 24, 2022 3.00pm
Weymouth 0 - 2 Dover Athletic
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Luke Wanadio

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Welling United win with a probability of 43.84%. A win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Welling United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Dover Athletic win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result

Welling United 43.84% (-0.50)
Draw 25.51% (+0.06)
Dover Athletic 30.65% (+0.45)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.34% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.64% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 49.36% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 28.59% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 71.41% (+0.04)

Welling United Goals

Over 0.5 77.54% (-0.25)
Under 0.5 22.46% (+0.25)
Over 1.5 44% (-0.37)
Under 1.5 55.99% (+0.37)

Dover Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 70.08% (+0.29)
Under 0.5 29.92% (-0.29)
Over 1.5 33.97% (+0.35)
Under 1.5 66.03% (-0.35)

Score analysis

Welling United 43.83%
Draw 25.5%
Dover Athletic 30.65%
Welling United
1-0 @ 10.03% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 9.04% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 7.5% (-0.10)
3-1 @ 4.5% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 3.73% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.68% (-0.04)
4-0 @ 1.39% (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 43.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.1% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.72% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.46% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.09% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.5%
Dover Athletic
0-1 @ 8.11% (+0.08)
1-2 @ 7.31% (+0.08)
0-2 @ 4.89% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 2.94% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 2.19% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.97% (+0.05)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 30.65%

Head to Head

National League
Mar 8, 2016 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Stefan Payne 23' goal
  • Sean Raggett 51' goal
  • Richard Orlu 64' yellowcard
  • Samuel Magri 92' yellowcard
  • goal Michael Bakare 2'
  • yellowcard Barney Williams 45'
  • yellowcard Ian Gayle 72'
National League
Dec 26, 2015 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Xavier Vidal 77' yellowcard
  • Sam Corne 94' goal
  • goal Ricky Modeste 13'
  • yellowcard Sam Magri 43'
  • yellowcard Aswad Thomas 61'
  • goal Nicky Deverdics 68'
  • yellowcard Ricky Miller 79'
Conference Premier
Jan 1, 2015 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Joe Healy 40' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Connor Essam 36'
  • yellowcard Tom Bonner 53'
  • goal Sean Raggett 63'
  • goal Barry Cogan 78'
Conference Premier
Dec 26, 2014 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Stefan Payne 20' goal
  • Tom Murphy 37' goal
  • Tom Murphy 47' goal
  • James Poole 94' goal
  • yellowcard Keiron St Aimie 50'
  • yellowcard Jamal Fyfield 87'
  • redcard Benjamin Buchel 92'