National League South | Gameweek 7
Sep 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
Park View Road

Welling United
5 - 0
Oxford City

Azeez (9', 32', 44'), Payne (41', 70')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Rowan (65')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Welling United and Oxford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford City 2-0 Hampton
Monday, August 29 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 65.92%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 14.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.99%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for a Welling United win it was 1-0 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.

Result
Welling UnitedDrawOxford City
14.29% (-0.547 -0.55)19.78% (-0.668 -0.67)65.92% (1.214 1.21)
Both teams to score 50.36% (0.808 0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.45% (1.797 1.8)43.55% (-1.797 -1.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.06% (1.74 1.74)65.94% (-1.741 -1.74)
Welling United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.46% (0.338 0.34)42.53% (-0.339 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.1% (0.287 0.29)78.89% (-0.289 -0.29)
Oxford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.64% (0.896 0.9)12.36% (-0.896 -0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.8% (1.84 1.84)38.2% (-1.841 -1.84)
Score Analysis
    Welling United 14.29%
    Oxford City 65.92%
    Draw 19.78%
Welling UnitedDrawOxford City
1-0 @ 4.49% (-0.319 -0.32)
2-1 @ 4.02% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-0 @ 1.92% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-2 @ 1.2% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.14% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 14.29%
1-1 @ 9.4% (-0.33 -0.33)
0-0 @ 5.26% (-0.426 -0.43)
2-2 @ 4.2% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 19.78%
0-2 @ 11.49% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-1 @ 10.99% (-0.49 -0.49)
1-2 @ 9.82% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 8.01% (0.192 0.19)
1-3 @ 6.85% (0.226 0.23)
0-4 @ 4.19% (0.237 0.24)
1-4 @ 3.58% (0.233 0.23)
2-3 @ 2.93% (0.123 0.12)
0-5 @ 1.75% (0.154 0.15)
2-4 @ 1.53% (0.114 0.11)
1-5 @ 1.5% (0.144 0.14)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 65.92%

Head to Head
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Oxford City
3-0
Welling United
Iaciofano (4'), Benyon (70'), Bradbury (85')
rhs 2.0


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