Weymouth
National League South | Gameweek 5
Aug 27, 2022 at 3pm UK
Bob Lucas Stadium

Weymouth
0 - 2
Oxford City

FT(HT: 0-1)
Coyle (7'), Lolas (76' pen.)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Weymouth and Oxford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Weymouth

Last Six:
Last Game: Chelmsford City 3-1 Weymouth
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in National League South

Oxford City

Last Six:
Last Game: Oxford City 5-0 Concord Rangers
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 57.5%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Weymouth had a probability of 19.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.14%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Weymouth win it was 1-0 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.

Result
WeymouthDrawOxford City
19.78% (0.023 0.02)22.72% (0.020999999999997 0.02)57.5% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 52.27% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.18% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)46.82% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.92% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)69.07% (0.048999999999992 0.05)
Weymouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)37.76% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.47% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)74.53% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Oxford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.98% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)16.02% (0.034999999999998 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.64% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)45.36% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Weymouth 19.78%
    Oxford City 57.49%
    Draw 22.71%
WeymouthDrawOxford City
1-0 @ 5.89% (0.013 0.01)
2-1 @ 5.25% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 2.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 19.78%
1-1 @ 10.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.05% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.81% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.71%
0-1 @ 11.07% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 10.14%
1-2 @ 9.88% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-3 @ 6.19% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.03% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.94% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 2.84% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.76% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-5 @ 1.04% (-0.004 -0)
1-5 @ 1.01% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 57.49%

rhs 2.0


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