National League South | Gameweek 6

Aug 29, 2022 at 3pm UK

Stonebridge Road

Ebbsfleet
3 - 0
Dover Athletic

Poleon (18', 85'), Bingham (74')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the National League South clash between Ebbsfleet and Dover Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ebbsfleet

Last Six:

Last Game: Concord Rangers 1-2 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in National League South

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ebbsfleet	5	8	15
2	Havant & Waterlooville	5	6	13
3	Worthing	5	6	11

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 74.27%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 10.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.39%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.3%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 1-2 (3.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.

Result
Ebbsfleet	Draw	Dover Athletic
74.27% ( 1.44)	15.62% ( -0.69)	10.11% ( -0.75)

Both teams to score 51.82% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.18% (

1.14)

34.81% (

-1.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.22% (

1.26)

56.78% (

-1.26)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.02% (

0.59)

7.98% (

-0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.85% (

1.46)

28.15% (

-1.46)

Dover Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.32% (

-0.59)

43.68% (

0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.14% (

-0.5)

79.86% (

0.5)

Score Analysis

Ebbsfleet 74.27%

Dover Athletic 10.11%

Draw 15.62%

Ebbsfleet	Draw	Dover Athletic
2-0 @ 11.14% 3-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 8.81% ( -0.26) 3-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.33) 4-1 @ 4.92% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 3% ( 0.25) 5-1 @ 2.49% ( 0.17) 4-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.05) 6-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.14) 6-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.1) 5-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.99% Total : 74.27%	1-1 @ 7.3% ( -0.34) 2-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.21) Other @ 1.02% Total : 15.62%	1-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.19) 0-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.95% Total : 10.11%