Ebbsfleet United
National League South | Gameweek 4
Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK
Stonebridge Road

Ebbsfleet
4 - 2
Farnborough Town

Poleon (42'), Bingham (54' pen.), Cundle (58'), McQueen (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Norville-Williams (52'), Lokko (71')
Rowe (89')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Ebbsfleet and Farnborough Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ebbsfleet

Last Six:
Last Game: Eastbourne 2-3 Ebbsfleet
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League South

Farnborough Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Farnborough Town 1-0 Taunton Town
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 61.63%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Farnborough Town had a probability of 16.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.88%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Farnborough Town win it was 0-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.

Result
EbbsfleetDrawFarnborough Town
61.63% (-0.067 -0.07)21.41% (0.0019999999999989 0)16.96% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
Both teams to score 51.22% (0.116 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.41% (0.089999999999996 0.09)45.59% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.09% (0.085000000000001 0.09)67.91% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.74% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)14.26% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.96% (0.015000000000001 0.02)42.04% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Farnborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.74% (0.134 0.13)40.26% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.11% (0.119 0.12)76.89% (-0.117 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Ebbsfleet 61.62%
    Farnborough Town 16.96%
    Draw 21.41%
EbbsfleetDrawFarnborough Town
1-0 @ 11.18% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 10.88% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 7.07% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.43% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-0 @ 3.44% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.93% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.43% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.22% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 61.62%
1-1 @ 10.17%
0-0 @ 5.74% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.51% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 21.41%
0-1 @ 5.22% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 4.63% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.38% (0.0079999999999996 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.4% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.37% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 16.96%