National League South Gameweek 15
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Longmead Stadium
  • Jeremy Santos 14' goal

Tonbridge Angels vs Chelmsford City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Tonbridge Angels

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Oct 22, 2022 3.00pm
Tonbridge Angels 2 - 0 Chippenham
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Jordan Greenidge

Chelmsford City

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Oct 22, 2022 3.00pm
Chelmsford City 2 - 1 Hemel Hemps.
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Tom Blackwell

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 37.45%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tonbridge Angels in this match.

Result

Tonbridge Angels 37.45% (+2.06)
Draw 26.68% (+0.26)
Chelmsford City 35.87% (-2.31)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.94% (-0.79)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.93% (-1.01)
Under 2.5 53.07% (+1.02)
Over 3.5 25.35% (-0.87)
Under 3.5 74.66% (+0.87)

Tonbridge Angels Goals

Over 0.5 72.54% (+0.74)
Under 0.5 27.46% (-0.74)
Over 1.5 37.05% (+0.94)
Under 1.5 62.96% (-0.94)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5 71.61% (-1.82)
Under 0.5 28.39% (+1.83)
Over 1.5 35.86% (-2.35)
Under 1.5 64.14% (+2.36)

Score analysis

Tonbridge Angels 37.44%
Draw 26.67%
Chelmsford City 35.87%
Tonbridge Angels
1-0 @ 10.07% (+0.59)
2-1 @ 8.2% (+0.25)
2-0 @ 6.51% (+0.51)
3-1 @ 3.53% (+0.18)
3-0 @ 2.81% (+0.28)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.14% (+0.08)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 37.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.68% (+0.11)
0-0 @ 7.8% (+0.31)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.12)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 26.67%
Chelmsford City
0-1 @ 9.82% (-0.12)
1-2 @ 7.99% (-0.35)
0-2 @ 6.18% (-0.40)
1-3 @ 3.35% (-0.33)
0-3 @ 2.59% (-0.32)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.17)
1-4 @ 1.06% (-0.17)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 35.87%

Head to Head

National League South Gameweek 36
Apr 9, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Adebola Olowu 37' goal
  • goal Adam Coombes 50'
National League South Gameweek 15
Nov 20, 2021 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Joe Turner 23' goal
  • goal Simeon Jackson 61'
National League South Gameweek 33
National League South Gameweek 7
Nov 9, 2020 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Tom Parkinson 10'
  • goal Tom Beere 55'