National League South | Gameweek 9
Sep 13, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Longmead Stadium

Tonbridge Angels
2 - 1
Farnborough Town

Fielding (3'), Gard (40')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Lokko (90+2')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Tonbridge Angels and Farnborough Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tonbridge Angels

Last Six:
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 3-1 Dulwich Hamlet
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in National League South

Farnborough Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Cheshunt 0-1 Farnborough Town
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 47.35%. A win for Farnborough Town had a probability of 26.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Farnborough Town win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tonbridge Angels would win this match.

Result
Tonbridge AngelsDrawFarnborough Town
47.35% (0.024000000000001 0.02)25.89% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)26.76% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.68% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.03% (0.063000000000002 0.06)52.97% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.43% (0.055 0.05)74.56% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.63% (0.036999999999992 0.04)22.37% (-0.038 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.14% (0.055999999999997 0.06)55.86% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Farnborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.28% (0.027999999999992 0.03)34.72% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.55% (0.027999999999999 0.03)71.45% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Tonbridge Angels 47.34%
    Farnborough Town 26.76%
    Draw 25.89%
Tonbridge AngelsDrawFarnborough Town
1-0 @ 11.62% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.21% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 8.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.6% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.35% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 2.43% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.72% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.63% (0.0039999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 47.34%
1-1 @ 12.3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.77% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.87% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 8.22% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.51% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 4.35% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.72% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 26.76%