National League South Gameweek 9
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Longmead Stadium
  • Jamie Fielding 3' goal
  • Lewis Gard 40' goal
  • goal Kevin Lokko 90'+2'

Tonbridge Angels vs Farnborough Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Tonbridge Angels

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Sep 3, 2022 3.00pm
Tonbridge Angels 3 - 1 Dulwich Hamlet
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Jordan Greenidge

Farnborough Town

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Sep 3, 2022 3.00pm
Cheshunt 0 - 1 Farnborough
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Mason Bloomfield

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 47.35%. A win for Farnborough Town had a probability of 26.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Farnborough Town win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tonbridge Angels would win this match.

Result

Tonbridge Angels 47.35% (+0.03)
Draw 25.89% (-0.02)
Farnborough Town 26.76% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.68% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.03% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 52.97% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 25.43% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 74.56% (-0.06)

Tonbridge Angels Goals

Over 0.5 77.63% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 22.37% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 44.14% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 55.86% (-0.06)

Farnborough Town Goals

Over 0.5 65.28% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 34.72% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 28.55% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 71.45% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Tonbridge Angels 47.34%
Draw 25.89%
Farnborough Town 26.76%
Tonbridge Angels
1-0 @ 11.62% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.21% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.71% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.6% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.35% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.43% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.72% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.63% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 47.34%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.3% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.77% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.87% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 25.89%
Farnborough Town
0-1 @ 8.22% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.51% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.35% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.3% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.72% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 26.76%