National League South | Gameweek 5
Aug 27, 2022 at 3pm UK
Paddy Power Park

Farnborough Town
0 - 1
Bath City

FT(HT: 0-0)
Fletcher (50')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Farnborough Town and Bath City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Farnborough Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 4-2 Farnborough Town
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in National League South

Bath City

Last Six:
Last Game: Bath City 3-1 Braintree
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 48.84%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 26.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Bath City win was 0-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Farnborough TownDrawBath City
48.84% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)24.69% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)26.47% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Both teams to score 54.17% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.72% (0.024000000000001 0.02)48.28% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.57% (0.021000000000001 0.02)70.43% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)
Farnborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.19% (0.012 0.01)19.81% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.12% (0.021999999999998 0.02)51.88% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Bath City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.54% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)32.46% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.02% (0.010999999999999 0.01)68.98% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Farnborough Town 48.83%
    Bath City 26.47%
    Draw 24.69%
Farnborough TownDrawBath City
1-0 @ 10.4% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.48% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.43% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-1 @ 5.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.55% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.88% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 2.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 48.83%
1-1 @ 11.71%
0-0 @ 6.43% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.69%
0-1 @ 7.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.59%
0-2 @ 4.07% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.47% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 26.47%