National League South | Gameweek 4
Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK
Twerton Park Stadium
Braintree Town

Bath City
3 - 1
Braintree

Fletcher (56'), Cooke (57', 90+3' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Amantchi (20')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Bath City and Braintree Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bath City

Last Six:
Last Game: Hampton 1-1 Bath City
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League South

Braintree Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Braintree 3-1 Hemel Hempstead
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for Braintree Town had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Braintree Town win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bath City would win this match.

Result
Bath CityDrawBraintree Town
43.61% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)26.9% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)29.49% (0.038 0.04)
Both teams to score 49.44% (0.064 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.58% (0.073 0.07)55.42% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.38% (0.059999999999999 0.06)76.62% (-0.059000000000012 -0.06)
Bath City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.77% (0.021000000000001 0.02)25.23% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.03% (0.027999999999999 0.03)59.97% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Braintree Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.12% (0.067999999999998 0.07)33.88% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.45% (0.073 0.07)70.55% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Bath City 43.6%
    Braintree Town 29.5%
    Draw 26.9%
Bath CityDrawBraintree Town
1-0 @ 11.77% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.77% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 8.11% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.03% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-0 @ 3.72% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.39% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.28%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 43.6%
1-1 @ 12.74%
0-0 @ 8.55% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.75% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.9%
0-1 @ 9.25% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.89% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.01% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 2.49% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.81% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 29.5%

Head to Head
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Bath City
0-0
Braintree
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Braintree
1-3
Bath City
Johnson (49')
Cooke (34' pen., 51'), Fletcher (89')
May 28, 2021 11pm
Bath City
P-P
Braintree
May 11, 2021 7.45pm
Braintree
P-P
Bath City
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
Braintree
2-0
Bath City
Chiedozie (60'), Smyth (90')