FA Cup

FA Cup | Second Round

Nov 26, 2022 at 3pm UK

Wham Stadium

Accrington
1 - 0
Barnet

Hamilton (84')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Accrington Stanley and Barnet, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Grimsby Town 0-1 Accrington
Tuesday, November 22 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Barnet

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Barnet 1-0 Torquay Utd
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 49.36%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.3%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Barnet win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.

Result
Accrington Stanley	Draw	Barnet
49.36% ( -0.07)	21.8% ( -0.02)	28.84% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 66.32% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.87% (

0.15)

33.13% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.13% (

0.18)

54.87% (

-0.17)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.09% (

0.03)

13.91% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.65% (

0.06)

41.35% (

-0.06)

Barnet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.04% (

0.13)

22.96% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.26% (

0.19)

56.74% (

-0.19)

Score Analysis

Accrington Stanley 49.36%

Barnet 28.84%

Draw 21.8%

Accrington Stanley	Draw	Barnet
2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.01% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.97% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.17% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.79% Total : 49.36%	1-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.44% Total : 21.8%	1-2 @ 6.82% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.46% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.08% Total : 28.84%