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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 41.64% ( | 27% ( | 31.36% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.96% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.86% ( | 55.14% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.61% ( | 76.39% ( |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.89% | 26.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.83% ( | 61.17% ( |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.62% ( | 32.38% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.11% ( | 68.89% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 1-0 @ 11.35% 2-1 @ 8.6% ( 2-0 @ 7.62% ( 3-1 @ 3.85% 3-0 @ 3.41% 3-2 @ 2.17% 4-1 @ 1.29% 4-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.21% Total : 41.64% | 1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 8.46% ( 2-2 @ 4.85% Other @ 0.9% Total : 27% | 0-1 @ 9.53% 1-2 @ 7.22% 0-2 @ 5.38% 1-3 @ 2.71% 0-3 @ 2.02% ( 2-3 @ 1.82% Other @ 2.67% Total : 31.36% |