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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 66.28%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 14.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
Result | ||
Peterborough United | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
66.28% ( 0.35) | 19.55% ( -0.17) | 14.17% ( -0.19) |
Both teams to score 50.85% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.25% ( 0.34) | 42.74% ( -0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.85% ( 0.34) | 65.14% ( -0.34) |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.97% ( 0.2) | 12.02% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.51% ( 0.42) | 37.49% ( -0.42) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.79% ( -0.05) | 42.2% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.39% ( -0.04) | 78.61% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Peterborough United | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
2-0 @ 11.38% 1-0 @ 10.74% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 6.94% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.48% Total : 66.26% | 1-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.97% Total : 19.55% | 0-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 4% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.54% Total : 14.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 43 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 13 | 17 | 41 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 33 |
6 | Reading | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 31 |
7 | Barnsley | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 30 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 30 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 28 |
10 | Blackpool | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 26 |
11 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Stevenage | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 25 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 24 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 24 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 24 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 23 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 23 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 22 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 11 |
> League One Full Table |