Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 47.66%. A win for Liverpool Under-21s had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.76%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Liverpool Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.