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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 44.04%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 30.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oxford United | Draw | Peterborough United |
| 44.04% ( | 25.57% ( | 30.39% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.02% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.28% ( | 49.72% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.27% ( | 71.73% ( |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.48% ( | 22.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.92% ( | 56.08% ( |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.71% ( | 30.29% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.54% ( | 66.46% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford United | Draw | Peterborough United |
| 1-0 @ 10.16% ( 2-1 @ 9.05% ( 2-0 @ 7.58% ( 3-1 @ 4.5% ( 3-0 @ 3.77% ( 3-2 @ 2.69% ( 4-1 @ 1.68% ( 4-0 @ 1.4% ( 4-2 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.2% Total : 44.03% | 1-1 @ 12.14% ( 0-0 @ 6.82% ( 2-2 @ 5.41% ( 3-3 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.56% | 0-1 @ 8.14% ( 1-2 @ 7.25% ( 0-2 @ 4.86% ( 1-3 @ 2.89% ( 2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0-3 @ 1.94% ( Other @ 3.15% Total : 30.39% |