Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 44.04%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 30.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.