Sutton United
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 18, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
Oxford United

Sutton
2 - 0
Oxford Utd

Rowe (48'), Kouassi (64' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Sutton United and Oxford United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-1 Sutton
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in League Two

Oxford United

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Exeter 2-4 Oxford Utd
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawOxford United
31.94% (0.0039999999999978 0)26.14%41.92% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Both teams to score 52.86% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.48% (0.00099999999999767 0)51.52% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.68% (0.0010000000000012 0)73.32%
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)30.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.72% (0.0040000000000049 0)66.28% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.66% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)24.33% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)58.72% (0.002999999999993 0)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 31.94%
    Oxford United 41.92%
    Draw 26.14%
Sutton UnitedDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 8.8%
2-1 @ 7.46% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 5.28% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 2.98%
3-0 @ 2.11%
3-2 @ 2.11%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 31.94%
1-1 @ 12.43%
0-0 @ 7.33%
2-2 @ 5.27%
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.14%
0-1 @ 10.36%
1-2 @ 8.79%
0-2 @ 7.32% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 4.14%
0-3 @ 3.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.48%
1-4 @ 1.46% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 41.92%