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Championship header 2

League Two

AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Cherry Red Records Stadium
Sutton United

AFC Wimbledon
0 - 1
Sutton

FT(HT: 0-1)
Eastmond (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Walsall 3-1 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two

Sutton United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Sutton 0-2 Tranmere
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 41.25%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawSutton United
41.25% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)28.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)30.5% (0.055 0.05)
Both teams to score 46.06% (0.029999999999994 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.07% (0.027000000000001 0.03)59.93% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.82% (0.018999999999998 0.02)80.18% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.43% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)28.57% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.63% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)64.36% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.48% (0.055999999999997 0.06)35.52% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.71% (0.058999999999997 0.06)72.28% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 41.25%
    Sutton United 30.5%
    Draw 28.23%
AFC WimbledonDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 12.71% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.96% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.44% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-0 @ 3.33% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 41.25%
1-1 @ 13.16% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.27% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.23%
0-1 @ 10.5%
1-2 @ 6.81% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.44% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.35% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.88% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.47% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 30.5%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Sutton

AFC Wimbledon
50.0%
Draw
16.7%
Sutton United
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2021 7.45pm
Sutton
1-0
AFC Wimbledon
Wilson (47')

Guinness-Walker (71')
Jan 17, 2017 7.45pm
AFC Wimbledon
1-3
Sutton
Elliott (10')
Kelly (57'), Barnett (85')
Robinson (15')
Deacon (75'), Biamou (90'), Fitchett (96')
Deacon (34'), Spence (43'), Collins (82')
Jan 7, 2017 3pm
Sutton
0-0
AFC Wimbledon

Downer (25'), Biamou (47'), Collins (60'), Bailey (75')

Reeves (22'), Robinson (61')