League One

League One | Gameweek 12

Dec 4, 2021 at 3pm UK

Crown Ground

Accrington
5 - 1
Fleetwood

Hamilton (29', 90'), Bishop (46', 78'), Coyle (72')
Hamilton (57')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Biggins (57')
Hayes (28'), Lane (74')
Batty (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 33.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.

Result
Accrington Stanley	Draw	Fleetwood Town
40.11%	26.25%	33.63%

Both teams to score 53%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.42%

51.58%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.63%

73.37%

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.7%

25.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.93%

60.06%

Fleetwood Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.94%

29.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.03%

64.97%

Score Analysis

Accrington Stanley 40.11%

Fleetwood Town 33.63%

Draw 26.25%

Accrington Stanley	Draw	Fleetwood Town
1-0 @ 10.1% 2-1 @ 8.58% 2-0 @ 6.94% 3-1 @ 3.93% 3-0 @ 3.18% 3-2 @ 2.43% 4-1 @ 1.35% 4-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.5% Total : 40.11%	1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 7.35% 2-2 @ 5.3% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.25%	0-1 @ 9.08% 1-2 @ 7.72% 0-2 @ 5.61% 1-3 @ 3.18% 0-3 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 2.19% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.56% Total : 33.63%

How you voted: Accrington vs Fleetwood

Accrington Stanley

71.4%

Draw

28.6%

Fleetwood Town

0.0%