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Accrington Stanley
League One | Gameweek 12
Dec 4, 2021 at 3pm UK
Crown Ground
Fleetwood Town

Accrington
5 - 1
Fleetwood

Hamilton (29', 90'), Bishop (46', 78'), Coyle (72')
Hamilton (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Biggins (57')
Hayes (28'), Lane (74')
Batty (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Accrington Stanley 1-1 Fleetwood Town

Fleetwood are looking to turn their form around and they will be looking to take advantage of Accrington's poor form also to gain another point in League One on Saturday. Accrington will want to prevent Fleetwood's attack from flourishing having conceded 11 goals in their last four league outings, which may mean a low-scoring game will be played out at the Wham Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 33.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawFleetwood Town
40.11%26.25%33.63%
Both teams to score 53%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.42%51.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.63%73.37%
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.7%25.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.93%60.06%
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.94%29.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.03%64.97%
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 40.11%
    Fleetwood Town 33.63%
    Draw 26.25%
Accrington StanleyDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 10.1%
2-1 @ 8.58%
2-0 @ 6.94%
3-1 @ 3.93%
3-0 @ 3.18%
3-2 @ 2.43%
4-1 @ 1.35%
4-0 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 40.11%
1-1 @ 12.48%
0-0 @ 7.35%
2-2 @ 5.3%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.25%
0-1 @ 9.08%
1-2 @ 7.72%
0-2 @ 5.61%
1-3 @ 3.18%
0-3 @ 2.31%
2-3 @ 2.19%
1-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 33.63%

How you voted: Accrington vs Fleetwood

Accrington Stanley
71.4%
Draw
28.6%
Fleetwood Town
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Fleetwood
1-4
Accrington
Garner (37' pen.)
Pell (23'), Hamilton (42'), Leigh (50'), Nottingham (86')
Scully (81')
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 32
Fleetwood
1-1
Accrington
Burns (24')
Burns (4'), Camps (45+3'), Connolly (79')
Phillips (22')
Burgess (78')
Oct 20, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 7
Accrington
1-0
Fleetwood
Charles (73')
Sykes (55')

Holgate (43')
Apr 10, 2020 3pm
Jan 7, 2020 7.45pm
Round of 16
Fleetwood
2-2
Accrington
Accrington win 5-3 on penalties
Morris (50'), Andrew (68')
Pritchard (35'), Sykes (90')
Johnson (29'), Opoku (45'), Alese (67'), Finley (73')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth452713576413594
2Derby CountyDerby452781076373989
3Bolton WanderersBolton452511983483586
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough452581286582883
5Barnsley4521121281631875
6Lincoln CityLincoln4520141165382774
7Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4521111377552274
8Blackpool4521101463451873
9Stevenage4518141355451068
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe451614155955462
11Leyton Orient451711175054-462
12Exeter CityExeter451710184559-1461
13Wigan AthleticWigan451910166156559
14Northampton TownNorthampton45178205665-959
15Bristol Rovers45169205266-1457
16Charlton AthleticCharlton451120146464053
17Reading451511196568-350
18Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury45139233464-3048
19Cambridge UnitedCambridge451211223961-2247
20Burton Albion451210233964-2546
21Cheltenham TownCheltenham45128254063-2344
RFleetwood TownFleetwood45913234672-2640
RPort Vale451010254174-3340
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4579294179-3830


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