Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 52.29%. A draw had a probability of 24.24% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 23.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%) , while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.