Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pau win with a probability of 54.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.03% and a win for Amiens had a probability of 21.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pau win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%) , while for a Amiens win it was 0-1 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.