Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Standard Liege win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Standard Liege win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Leuven win was 0-1 (8.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.