FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round

Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK

Broadfield Stadium

Crawley
1 - 4
Accrington

Hessenthaler (18')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Whalley (1', 22', 49'), Hamilton (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Crawley Town and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions

Last Game: Bradford 1-1 Crawley
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Accrington Stanley

All competitions

Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 Accrington
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 36.33% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.

Result
Crawley Town	Draw	Accrington Stanley
38.63%	25.04%	36.33%

Both teams to score 57.58%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.12%

45.87%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.81%

68.18%

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.49%

23.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.46%

57.53%

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.26%

24.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.71%

59.28%

Score Analysis

Crawley Town 38.63%

Accrington Stanley 36.33%

Draw 25.03%

Crawley Town	Draw	Accrington Stanley
2-1 @ 8.51% 1-0 @ 8.42% 2-0 @ 6.09% 3-1 @ 4.11% 3-0 @ 2.94% 3-2 @ 2.87% 4-1 @ 1.49% 4-0 @ 1.07% 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.09% Total : 38.63%	1-1 @ 11.75% 2-2 @ 5.95% 0-0 @ 5.81% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.03%	1-2 @ 8.21% 0-1 @ 8.12% 0-2 @ 5.67% 1-3 @ 3.83% 2-3 @ 2.77% 0-3 @ 2.64% 1-4 @ 1.34% 2-4 @ 0.97% 0-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.86% Total : 36.33%