League Two

League Two | Gameweek 16

Oct 22, 2022 at 3pm UK

The People's Pension Stadium

Crawley
3 - 2
Mansfield

Nadesan (2', 46'), Nichols (13')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Bowery (16' pen.), Lapslie (27')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Crawley Town and Mansfield Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Crawley 5-2 Aston Villa U21s
Tuesday, October 18 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Mansfield Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Mansfield 2-1 Walsall
Saturday, October 15 at 1pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 57.79%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 19.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.4%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 1-0 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Crawley Town	Draw	Mansfield Town
19.38% ( 3.84)	22.83% ( 1.31)	57.79% ( -5.14)

Both teams to score 51.26% (

3.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.17% (

0.69)

47.84% (

-0.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.98% (

0.63)

70.02% (

-0.63)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.23% (

5.06)

38.78% (

-5.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.49% (

4.48)

75.51% (

-4.47)

Mansfield Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.73% (

-1.46)

16.28% (

1.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.18% (

-2.72)

45.83% (

2.73)

Score Analysis

Crawley Town 19.38%

Mansfield Town 57.78%

Draw 22.82%

Crawley Town	Draw	Mansfield Town
1-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.62) 2-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.93) 2-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.62) 3-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.47) 3-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.37) Other @ 2.33% Total : 19.38%	1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.63) 0-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.64) Other @ 1% Total : 22.82%	0-1 @ 11.45% ( -0.94) 0-2 @ 10.4% ( -1.43) 1-2 @ 9.85% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 6.29% ( -1.24) 1-3 @ 5.96% ( -0.25) 0-4 @ 2.86% ( -0.74) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.26) 1-4 @ 2.71% ( -0.26) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.06) 0-5 @ 1.04% ( -0.34) 1-5 @ 0.98% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.13% Total : 57.78%