EFL Trophy
Oct 18, 2022 7.45pm
5
2
HT : 2 1
FT The People's Pension Stadium
  • Jayden Davis 28' goal
  • Aramide Oteh 40' goal
  • Aramide Oteh 52' goal
  • Mark Marshall 83' goal
  • Dom Telford 90'+4' goal
  • goal Seb Revan 13'
  • goal Charlie Lutz 82'

Crawley Town vs Aston Villa Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last game
Sep 20, 2022 7.45pm
AFC Wimbledon 3 - 2 Crawley

Aston Villa Under-21s

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last game
Oct 4, 2022 7.45pm
Portsmouth 5 - 0 Aston Villa U21s

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 53.59%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 24.95% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.17%) and 1-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crawley Town would win this match.

Result

Crawley Town 53.59% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 21.47% ▼ (-0.01)
Aston Villa Under-21s 24.95% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.82% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 65.13% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 34.87% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 43.16% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 56.85% ▼ (-0.01)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5 86.81% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 13.2% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 60.08% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 39.92% ▼ (-0.02)

Aston Villa Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 73.52% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 26.49% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 38.33% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 61.67% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Crawley Town 53.58%
Draw 21.47%
Aston Villa Under-21s 24.95%
Crawley Town
2-1 @ 9.52% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.17% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.08%
3-1 @ 6.43% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.84% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 4.27% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.26% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.16%
5-1 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 5.09%
Total : 53.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.4% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.33% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.5%
3-3 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 21.47%
Aston Villa Under-21s
1-2 @ 6.25% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.8%
1-3 @ 2.77% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 24.95%