Premier League 2 - Div 2
Oct 14, 2022 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Villa Park
  • Ruben Shakpoke 45'+4' goal
  • goal Joe White 24'
  • goal Joshua Scott 59'

Aston Villa Under-21s vs Newcastle United Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 2
Last game
Oct 8, 2022 12.00pm
Saints U21s 2 - 0 Aston Villa U21s
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Brad Young

Newcastle United Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 2
Last game
Sep 30, 2022 7.00pm
Boro U21s 1 - 1 Newcastle U21s
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Dylan Stephenson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United Under-21s win with a probability of 51.56%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 27.03% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.44%) and 0-1 (6.32%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Newcastle United Under-21s in this match.

Result

Aston Villa Under-21s 27.03% (-17.46)
Draw 21.4% (-0.32)
Newcastle United Under-21s 51.56% (+17.78)

Both Teams to Score: 

66.28% (-3.27)

Goals

Over 2.5 67.44% (-2.50)
Under 2.5 32.56% (+2.50)
Over 3.5 45.78% (-2.95)
Under 3.5 54.22% (+2.95)

Aston Villa Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 76.2% (-9.42)
Under 0.5 23.8% (+9.42)
Over 1.5 42.03% (-15.68)
Under 1.5 57.97% (+15.68)

Newcastle United Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 86.98% (+5.75)
Under 0.5 13.02% (-5.75)
Over 1.5 60.44% (+10.61)
Under 1.5 39.56% (-10.61)

Score analysis

Aston Villa Under-21s 27.03%
Draw 21.4%
Newcastle United Under-21s 51.56%
Aston Villa Under-21s
2-1 @ 6.51% (-1.99)
1-0 @ 4.45% (-0.79)
2-0 @ 3.19% (-1.89)
3-2 @ 3.17% (-1.42)
3-1 @ 3.11% (-2.38)
3-0 @ 1.53% (-1.76)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-1.09)
4-1 @ 1.12% (-1.55)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 27.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.07% (+0.31)
2-2 @ 6.63% (-0.47)
0-0 @ 3.1% (+0.40)
3-3 @ 2.16% (-0.41)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 21.4%
Newcastle United Under-21s
1-2 @ 9.24% (+1.92)
0-2 @ 6.44% (+2.67)
0-1 @ 6.32% (+1.80)
1-3 @ 6.28% (+2.20)
2-3 @ 4.51% (+0.55)
0-3 @ 4.38% (+2.27)
1-4 @ 3.2% (+1.50)
2-4 @ 2.3% (+0.65)
0-4 @ 2.23% (-85.97)
1-5 @ 1.31% (-55.90)
3-4 @ 1.1% (+0.03)
Other @ 4.25%
Total : 51.56%