Premier League 2 - Div 2
Oct 14, 2022 at 6pm UK
Villa Park

Aston Villa U21s
1 - 2
Newcastle U21s

Shakpoke (45+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
White (24'), Scott (59')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 2 clash between Aston Villa Under-21s and Newcastle United Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2
Last Game: Saints U21s 2-0 Aston Villa U21s
Saturday, October 8 at 12pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Newcastle United Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2
Last Game: Boro U21s 1-1 Newcastle U21s
Friday, September 30 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United Under-21s win with a probability of 51.56%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 27.03% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.44%) and 0-1 (6.32%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Newcastle United Under-21s in this match.

Result
Aston Villa Under-21sDrawNewcastle United Under-21s
27.03% (-17.458 -17.46)21.4% (-0.312 -0.31)51.56% (17.771 17.77)
Both teams to score 66.28% (-3.264 -3.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.44% (-2.495 -2.5)32.56% (2.495 2.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.78% (-2.946 -2.95)54.22% (2.946 2.95)
Aston Villa Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.2% (-9.411 -9.41)23.8% (9.412 9.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.03% (-15.679 -15.68)57.97% (15.678 15.68)
Newcastle United Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.98% (5.747 5.75)13.02% (-5.749 -5.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.44% (10.604 10.6)39.56% (-10.604 -10.6)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa Under-21s 27.03%
    Newcastle United Under-21s 51.56%
    Draw 21.4%
Aston Villa Under-21sDrawNewcastle United Under-21s
2-1 @ 6.51% (-1.982 -1.98)
1-0 @ 4.45% (-0.788 -0.79)
2-0 @ 3.19% (-1.882 -1.88)
3-2 @ 3.17% (-1.416 -1.42)
3-1 @ 3.11% (-2.372 -2.37)
3-0 @ 1.53% (-1.752 -1.75)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-1.086 -1.09)
4-1 @ 1.12% (-1.542 -1.54)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 27.03%
1-1 @ 9.07% (0.308 0.31)
2-2 @ 6.63% (-0.469 -0.47)
0-0 @ 3.1% (0.398 0.4)
3-3 @ 2.16% (-0.402 -0.4)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 21.4%
1-2 @ 9.24% (1.916 1.92)
0-2 @ 6.44% (2.66 2.66)
0-1 @ 6.32% (1.799 1.8)
1-3 @ 6.28% (2.196 2.2)
2-3 @ 4.51% (0.547 0.55)
0-3 @ 4.38% (2.269 2.27)
1-4 @ 3.2% (1.493 1.49)
2-4 @ 2.3% (0.642 0.64)
0-4 @ 2.23% (1.349 1.35)
1-5 @ 1.31% (0.734 0.73)
3-4 @ 1.1% (0.029 0.03)
2-5 @ 0.94% (0.382 0.38)
0-5 @ 0.91% (0.615 0.62)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 51.56%