Premier League 2 - Div 2
Sep 16, 2022 at 7pm UK
Blue Flames Ground

Newcastle U21s
2 - 1
Forest U21s

Scott (12', 53')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mbe Soh (71')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 2 clash between Newcastle United Under-21s and Nottingham Forest Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United Under-21s

Last Six:
Last Game: Doncaster 0-0 Newcastle U21s (4-2 pen.)
Tuesday, August 30 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Nottingham Forest Under-21s

Last Six:
Last Game: Leeds U21s 5-1 Forest U21s
Monday, August 29 at 1pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United Under-21s win with a probability of 76.08%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Nottingham Forest Under-21s had a probability of 10.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.56%), while for a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win it was 1-2 (2.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Newcastle United Under-21s in this match.

Result
Newcastle United Under-21sDrawNottingham Forest Under-21s
76.08% (0.12700000000001 0.13)13.6% (-0.179 -0.18)10.32% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
Both teams to score 62.04% (1.138 1.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
76.77% (1.164 1.16)23.22% (-1.162 -1.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
57.43% (1.55 1.55)42.56% (-1.548 -1.55)
Newcastle United Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.91% (0.26300000000001 0.26)5.08% (-0.261 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
79.78% (0.773 0.77)20.22% (-0.772 -0.77)
Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.36% (1.022 1.02)34.63% (-1.02 -1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.64% (1.071 1.07)71.35% (-1.069 -1.07)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United Under-21s 76.08%
    Nottingham Forest Under-21s 10.32%
    Draw 13.6%
Newcastle United Under-21sDrawNottingham Forest Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.28% (-0.146 -0.15)
3-1 @ 8.23% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 7.81% (-0.361 -0.36)
3-0 @ 7.76% (-0.222 -0.22)
4-1 @ 6.13% (0.1 0.1)
4-0 @ 5.78% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-0 @ 5.24% (-0.337 -0.34)
3-2 @ 4.36% (0.117 0.12)
5-1 @ 3.65% (0.12 0.12)
5-0 @ 3.45% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 3.25% (0.141 0.14)
5-2 @ 1.94% (0.115 0.12)
6-1 @ 1.81% (0.089 0.09)
6-0 @ 1.71% (0.038 0.04)
4-3 @ 1.15% (0.08 0.08)
6-2 @ 0.96% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 4.56%
Total : 76.08%
1-1 @ 5.56% (-0.196 -0.2)
2-2 @ 4.39% (0.045 0.04)
0-0 @ 1.76% (-0.145 -0.15)
3-3 @ 1.54% (0.083 0.08)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 13.6%
1-2 @ 2.95% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-1 @ 1.87% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.55% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.04% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 0.99% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 10.32%