Premier League 2 - Div 2
Aug 26, 2022 7.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Blue Flames Ground
  • Dylan Stephenson 8' goal
  • Kyle Crossley 17' goal
  • Dylan Stephenson 58' goal
  • Kyle Crossley 64' goal
  • yellowcard George Nunn 27'

Newcastle United Under-21s vs Derby County Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 2
Last game
Aug 21, 2022 2.00pm
Norwich U21s 4 - 2 Newcastle U21s
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Dylan Stephenson

Derby County Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 2
Last game
Aug 21, 2022 1.00pm
Derby U21s 0 - 4 Sunderland U21s
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Osazee Aghatise

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United Under-21s win with a probability of 51.58%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 25.72% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United Under-21s would win this match.

Result

Newcastle United Under-21s 51.58% (-0.43)
Draw 22.7% (+0.16)
Derby County Under-21s 25.72% (+0.27)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.18% (-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.98% (-0.47)
Under 2.5 40.01% (+0.47)
Over 3.5 37.62% (-0.49)
Under 3.5 62.38% (+0.49)

Newcastle United Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 84.35% (-0.32)
Under 0.5 15.65% (+0.32)
Over 1.5 55.33% (-0.58)
Under 1.5 44.67% (+0.59)

Derby County Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 71.34% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 28.66% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 35.52% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 64.48% (+0.06)

Score analysis

Newcastle United Under-21s 51.58%
Draw 22.7%
Derby County Under-21s 25.72%
Newcastle United Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 8.32% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 7.72% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.96% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 4.77% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 3.73% (-0.05)
4-1 @ 2.77% (-0.07)
4-0 @ 2.21% (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.73% (-0.05)
5-1 @ 1.03% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 51.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.39% (+0.11)
2-2 @ 6.02% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.48% (+0.10)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.7%
Derby County Under-21s
1-2 @ 6.5% (+0.06)
0-1 @ 5.6% (+0.12)
0-2 @ 3.5% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 2.71% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.51% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.46% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 25.72%