Premier League 2 - Div 2
Aug 26, 2022 at 7pm UK
Blue Flames Ground

Newcastle U21s
4 - 0
Derby U21s

Stephenson (8', 58'), Crossley (17', 64')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Nunn (27')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 2 clash between Newcastle United Under-21s and Derby County Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United Under-21s

Last Six:
Last Game: Norwich U21s 4-2 Newcastle U21s
Sunday, August 21 at 2pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Derby County Under-21s

Last Six:
Last Game: Derby U21s 0-4 Sunderland U21s
Sunday, August 21 at 1pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United Under-21s win with a probability of 51.58%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 25.72% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Newcastle United Under-21sDrawDerby County Under-21s
51.58% (-0.421 -0.42)22.7% (0.153 0.15)25.72% (0.269 0.27)
Both teams to score 60.18% (-0.258 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.98% (-0.463 -0.46)40.01% (0.464 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.62% (-0.482 -0.48)62.38% (0.483 0.48)
Newcastle United Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.35% (-0.31100000000001 -0.31)15.65% (0.312 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.33% (-0.58 -0.58)44.67% (0.581 0.58)
Derby County Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.34% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)28.66% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.52% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)64.48% (0.053999999999988 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United Under-21s 51.58%
    Derby County Under-21s 25.72%
    Draw 22.7%
Newcastle United Under-21sDrawDerby County Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.32% (0.089 0.09)
2-0 @ 7.72% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 5.96% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.77% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.73% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.77% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.21% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.73% (-0.042 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.03% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 51.58%
1-1 @ 10.39% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.02% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.48% (0.096 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.7%
1-2 @ 6.5% (0.055 0.05)
0-1 @ 5.6% (0.113 0.11)
0-2 @ 3.5% (0.066 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.71% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.51% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.46% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 25.72%