Premier League 2 - Div 2
Aug 21, 2022 at 1pm UK
Moor Farm Training Centre

Derby U21s
0 - 4
Sunderland U21s


Robinson (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Thompson (20', 58', 87'), Robinson (72')
Kachosa (26'), Chiabi (36')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 2 clash between Derby County Under-21s and Sunderland Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County Under-21s

Last Six:
Last Game: Boro U21s 3-1 Derby U21s
Friday, August 12 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Sunderland Under-21s

Last Six:
Last Game: Sunderland U21s 0-4 Aston Villa U21s
Monday, August 15 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland Under-21s win with a probability of 45.91%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 19.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 6.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-3 (5.58%) and 1-3 (5.47%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Derby County Under-21sDrawSunderland Under-21s
34.58% (2.191 2.19)19.51% (0.014000000000003 0.01)45.91% (-2.204 -2.2)
Both teams to score 78.65% (0.92700000000001 0.93)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
81.3% (0.80800000000001 0.81)18.7% (-0.807 -0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
63.78% (1.172 1.17)36.22% (-1.172 -1.17)
Derby County Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.98% (1.25 1.25)13.02% (-1.25 -1.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.43% (2.492 2.49)39.56% (-2.493 -2.49)
Sunderland Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.42% (-0.238 -0.24)9.58% (0.2391 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.96% (-0.569 -0.57)32.04% (0.57 0.57)
Score Analysis
    Derby County Under-21s 34.58%
    Sunderland Under-21s 45.91%
    Draw 19.51%
Derby County Under-21sDrawSunderland Under-21s
2-1 @ 6.08% (0.091 0.09)
3-2 @ 4.85% (0.238 0.24)
3-1 @ 4.13% (0.245 0.25)
2-0 @ 2.59% (0.066 0.07)
1-0 @ 2.54% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-2 @ 2.47% (0.226 0.23)
4-1 @ 2.11% (0.214 0.21)
4-3 @ 1.93% (0.158 0.16)
3-0 @ 1.76% (0.122 0.12)
5-2 @ 1.01% (0.134 0.13)
Other @ 5.12%
Total : 34.58%
2-2 @ 7.13% (0.031 0.03)
1-1 @ 5.96% (-0.188 -0.19)
3-3 @ 3.79% (0.147 0.15)
0-0 @ 1.25% (-0.085 -0.09)
4-4 @ 1.13% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 19.51%
1-2 @ 6.99% (-0.299 -0.3)
2-3 @ 5.58% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 5.47% (-0.296 -0.3)
0-2 @ 3.43% (-0.315 -0.32)
2-4 @ 3.27% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-4 @ 3.21% (-0.211 -0.21)
0-1 @ 2.93% (-0.234 -0.23)
0-3 @ 2.68% (-0.278 -0.28)
3-4 @ 2.22% (0.063 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.57% (-0.182 -0.18)
2-5 @ 1.53% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-5 @ 1.51% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-5 @ 1.04% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 4.48%
Total : 45.91%