Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough Under-21s win with a probability of 58.13%. A win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 21.65% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.48%) and 3-1 (6.98%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.