Premier League 2 - Div 2
Sep 30, 2022 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Heritage Park
  • Jospeh Gibson 90'+4' goal
  • goal Dylan Stephenson 36'

Middlesbrough Under-21s vs Newcastle United Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 2
Last game
Sep 23, 2022 7.00pm
Boro U21s 2 - 0 Sunderland U21s
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Calum Kavanagh

Newcastle United Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 2
Last game
Sep 16, 2022 7.00pm
Newcastle U21s 2 - 1 Forest U21s
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Dylan Stephenson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough Under-21s win with a probability of 58.13%. A win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 21.65% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.48%) and 3-1 (6.98%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result

Middlesbrough Under-21s 58.13% (+0.18)
Draw 20.22% (-0.02)
Newcastle United Under-21s 21.65% (-0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.07% (-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5 67.32% (-0.17)
Under 2.5 32.67% (+0.17)
Over 3.5 45.65% (-0.20)
Under 3.5 54.35% (+0.20)

Middlesbrough Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 88.81% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 11.19% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 64.3% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 35.7% (+0.02)

Newcastle United Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 72.14% (-0.24)
Under 0.5 27.86% (+0.24)
Over 1.5 36.54% (-0.30)
Under 1.5 63.46% (+0.30)

Score analysis

Middlesbrough Under-21s 58.13%
Draw 20.22%
Newcastle United Under-21s 21.65%
Middlesbrough Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.56% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.48% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 6.98% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 6.83% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 5.46% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 4.46% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 3.82% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.99% (+0.03)
4-2 @ 2.44% (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.67% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.31% (+0.02)
5-2 @ 1.07% (-0.01)
4-3 @ 1.04% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 58.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.73% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.11% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 3.12% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.9% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 20.22%
Newcastle United Under-21s
1-2 @ 5.58% (-0.03)
0-1 @ 3.98% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.6% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.55% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.38% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.09% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 21.65%