Premier League 2 - Div 2
Sep 30, 2022 at 7pm UK
Heritage Park

Boro U21s
1 - 1
Newcastle U21s

Gibson (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Stephenson (36')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 2 clash between Middlesbrough Under-21s and Newcastle United Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Boro U21s 2-0 Sunderland U21s
Friday, September 23 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Newcastle United Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2
Last Game: Barnsley 2-0 Newcastle U21s
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough Under-21s win with a probability of 58.13%. A win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 21.65% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.48%) and 3-1 (6.98%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
Middlesbrough Under-21sDrawNewcastle United Under-21s
58.13% (0.172 0.17)20.22% (-0.012 -0.01)21.65% (-0.159 -0.16)
Both teams to score 64.07% (-0.211 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.32% (-0.16500000000001 -0.17)32.67% (0.166 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.65% (-0.192 -0.19)54.35% (0.192 0.19)
Middlesbrough Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.81% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)11.19% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.3% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)35.7% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Newcastle United Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.14% (-0.23100000000001 -0.23)27.86% (0.232 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.54% (-0.295 -0.3)63.46% (0.29600000000001 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough Under-21s 58.13%
    Newcastle United Under-21s 21.65%
    Draw 20.22%
Middlesbrough Under-21sDrawNewcastle United Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.56% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.48% (0.062 0.06)
3-1 @ 6.98% (0.011 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.83% (0.058 0.06)
3-0 @ 5.46% (0.044 0.04)
3-2 @ 4.46% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.82% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 2.99% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.44% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.67% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.31% (0.01 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.07% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.04% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 58.13%
1-1 @ 8.73% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.11% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.12% (0.028 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.9% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 20.22%
1-2 @ 5.58% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-1 @ 3.98% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.6% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.55% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.38% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.09% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 21.65%