Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough Under-21s win with a probability of 58.77%. A win for Norwich City Under-21s had a probability of 21.58% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.11%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Norwich City Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.