Premier League 2 - Div 2
Sep 23, 2022 at 7pm UK
Heritage Park

Boro U21s
2 - 0
Sunderland U21s

Gibson (5'), Hackney (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 2 clash between Middlesbrough Under-21s and Sunderland Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough Under-21s

Last Six:
Comp:
Last Game: Boro U21s 1-3 Norwich U21s
Sunday, September 18 at 1pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Sunderland Under-21s

Last Six:
Comp:
Last Game: Sunderland U21s 3-3 WBA U21s
Monday, August 29 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough Under-21s win with a probability of 42.65%. A win for Sunderland Under-21s had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.28%) and 3-2 (4.78%). The likeliest Sunderland Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Middlesbrough Under-21sDrawSunderland Under-21s
42.65% (-3.325 -3.33)21.28% (0.136 0.14)36.08% (3.197 3.2)
Both teams to score 72.01% (0.58 0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.84% (0.337 0.34)27.16% (-0.329 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.31% (0.41999999999999 0.42)47.69% (-0.412 -0.41)
Middlesbrough Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.12% (-0.964 -0.96)13.88% (0.972 0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.71% (-1.945 -1.95)41.29% (1.953 1.95)
Sunderland Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.61% (1.598 1.6)16.39% (-1.59 -1.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.97% (2.806 2.81)46.03% (-2.798 -2.8)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough Under-21s 42.65%
    Sunderland Under-21s 36.08%
    Draw 21.28%
Middlesbrough Under-21sDrawSunderland Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.02% (-0.324 -0.32)
3-1 @ 5.28% (-0.415 -0.42)
3-2 @ 4.78% (-0.112 -0.11)
1-0 @ 4.49% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-0 @ 4.44% (-0.428 -0.43)
3-0 @ 2.92% (-0.399 -0.4)
4-1 @ 2.61% (-0.308 -0.31)
4-2 @ 2.36% (-0.144 -0.14)
4-0 @ 1.44% (-0.258 -0.26)
4-3 @ 1.42% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.03% (-0.164 -0.16)
5-2 @ 0.93% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 42.65%
1-1 @ 8.12% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-2 @ 7.25% (0.093 0.09)
3-3 @ 2.88% (0.083 0.08)
0-0 @ 2.28% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 21.28%
1-2 @ 7.35% (0.351 0.35)
1-3 @ 4.43% (0.428 0.43)
2-3 @ 4.37% (0.277 0.28)
0-1 @ 4.11% (0.131 0.13)
0-2 @ 3.72% (0.303 0.3)
0-3 @ 2.24% (0.289 0.29)
1-4 @ 2% (0.286 0.29)
2-4 @ 1.98% (0.22 0.22)
3-4 @ 1.3% (0.102 0.1)
0-4 @ 1.01% (0.176 0.18)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 36.08%