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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 51.2%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 24.75% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bradford City | Draw | Crawley Town |
51.2% ( -1.02) | 24.05% ( 0.87) | 24.75% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 54.6% ( -2.74) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.07% ( -3.71) | 46.93% ( 3.7) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.82% ( -3.56) | 69.18% ( 3.55) |
Bradford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.66% ( -1.76) | 18.34% ( 1.76) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.55% ( -3.07) | 49.45% ( 3.06) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.86% ( -1.88) | 33.13% ( 1.88) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.27% ( -2.13) | 69.73% ( 2.13) |
Score Analysis |
Bradford City | Draw | Crawley Town |
1-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.99) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.37) 3-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.37) 3-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.37) 4-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.3) 4-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.24) Other @ 3.39% Total : 51.19% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.55) 0-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.89) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.33) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.04% | 0-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.69) 1-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.23) 0-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 24.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 39 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 79 | 37 | 42 | 73 |
2 | Stockport CountyStockport | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 75 | 40 | 35 | 71 |
3 | Wrexham | 39 | 20 | 10 | 9 | 70 | 48 | 22 | 70 |
4 | MK Dons | 40 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 63 | 54 | 9 | 67 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 39 | 18 | 11 | 10 | 67 | 55 | 12 | 65 |
6 | BarrowBarrow | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 64 |
7 | Crawley TownCrawley | 38 | 18 | 5 | 15 | 57 | 54 | 3 | 59 |
8 | Gillingham | 40 | 17 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 59 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 40 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 58 |
10 | Walsall | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 57 | 52 | 5 | 56 |
11 | Newport CountyNewport | 39 | 16 | 7 | 16 | 58 | 59 | -1 | 55 |
12 | Morecambe | 39 | 15 | 9 | 15 | 59 | 68 | -9 | 54 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 39 | 15 | 9 | 15 | 46 | 55 | -9 | 54 |
14 | Notts County | 39 | 15 | 6 | 18 | 76 | 74 | 2 | 51 |
15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 40 | 15 | 5 | 20 | 59 | 57 | 2 | 50 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 39 | 14 | 8 | 17 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 50 |
17 | Bradford CityBradford | 39 | 13 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 50 |
18 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 51 | 62 | -11 | 49 |
19 | Salford City | 40 | 12 | 11 | 17 | 60 | 73 | -13 | 47 |
20 | Swindon TownSwindon | 39 | 11 | 11 | 17 | 65 | 70 | -5 | 44 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 38 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 39 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 34 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 40 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 45 | 71 | -26 | 33 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 39 | 8 | 9 | 22 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
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