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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 35.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 1-0 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bradford City | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 35.51% ( | 25.26% | 39.23% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.69% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.02% | 46.98% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.78% ( | 69.22% ( |
| Bradford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.29% ( | 25.71% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.37% | 60.63% ( |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.32% | 23.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.2% ( | 57.8% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bradford City | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.27% 2-1 @ 8.09% 2-0 @ 5.62% 3-1 @ 3.66% 3-2 @ 2.64% 3-0 @ 2.54% 4-1 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.44% Total : 35.51% | 1-1 @ 11.91% 0-0 @ 6.09% 2-2 @ 5.83% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.26% | 0-1 @ 8.77% 1-2 @ 8.58% 0-2 @ 6.32% 1-3 @ 4.12% 0-3 @ 3.03% ( 2-3 @ 2.8% 1-4 @ 1.48% 0-4 @ 1.09% 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.03% Total : 39.23% |