League Two Gameweek 16
Swindon
Oct 22, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
Hartlepool
  • Jonny Williams 12' goal
  • Luke Jephcott 17' goal
  • goal Clark Odour 28'

Swindon Town vs Hartlepool United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last game
Oct 15, 2022 3.00pm
Swindon 1 - 0 Colchester
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Jonny Williams

Hartlepool United

All competitions
Last game
Oct 15, 2022 12.30pm
Harrogate 2 - 1 Hartlepool
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Josh Umerah

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 64.06%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 14.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.12%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result

Swindon Town 64.06% ▲ (+0.18)
Draw 21.15% ▼ (-0.12)
Hartlepool United 14.79% ▼ (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.22% ▲ (+0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.59% ▲ (+0.38)
Under 2.5 48.41% ▼ (-0.38)
Over 3.5 29.45% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 3.5 70.55% ▼ (-0.35)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5 85.58% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 0.5 14.42% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 1.5 57.65% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 1.5 42.35% ▼ (-0.35)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5 55.17% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 0.5 44.82% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 1.5 19.21% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 1.5 80.79% ▼ (-0.12)

Score analysis

Swindon Town 64.05%
Draw 21.15%
Hartlepool United 14.79%
Swindon Town
1-0 @ 12.51% ▼ (-0.13)
2-0 @ 12.12% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.73% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 7.82% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 6.28% ▲ (+0.05)
4-0 @ 3.79% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 3.04% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.03)
5-0 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.03)
5-1 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 64.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.04% ▼ (-0.06)
0-0 @ 6.46% ▼ (-0.11)
2-2 @ 3.9% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 21.15%
Hartlepool United
0-1 @ 5.19% ▼ (-0.07)
1-2 @ 4.03% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 14.79%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 44
Hartlepool
Apr 23, 2022 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
Swindon
  • David Ferguson 26' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ellis Iandolo 36'
  • goal Harry McKirdy 40'
  • goal Harry McKirdy 55'
  • goal Mathieu Baudry 85'
League Two Gameweek 18
Swindon
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Hartlepool
  • Jonny Williams 52' goal
  • Harry McKirdy 59' yellowcard
  • Tyreece Simpson 69' goal
  • Jack Payne 90'+4' goal
  • goal Matty Daly 61'
League One
Swindon
Feb 9, 2013 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Hartlepool
  • Simon Ferry 15' goal
  • Gary Roberts 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sam Collins 68'
  • goal Andy Monkhouse 74'
  • yellowcard Scott Flinders 90'
League One
Hartlepool
Aug 18, 2012 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Swindon
  • yellowcard Alan McCormack 51'
League One
Swindon
Apr 2, 2011 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Hartlepool
  • Matty Ritchie 67' goal
  • goal Evan Horwood 37'
  • redcard Gary Liddle 54'
  • yellowcard Andy Monkhouse 65'
  • yellowcard Leon McSweeney 77'
League One
Hartlepool
Aug 14, 2010 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT
Swindon
  • Adam Boyd 4' goal
  • Antony Sweeney 12' goal
  • Joe Gamble 73' yellowcard
  • goal Charlie Austin 74'

Form Data

Bristol Rovers 3 - 0 Swindon
Swindon 1 - 0 Colchester
Stevenage 2 - 0 Swindon
Swindon 1 - 0 Newport
Swindon 1 - 2 Northampton
Grimsby Town 1 - 2 Swindon
Hartlepool 0 - 6 Everton U21s
Harrogate 2 - 1 Hartlepool
Hartlepool 1 - 3 Carlisle
Hartlepool 2 - 1 Doncaster
Mansfield 2 - 2 Hartlepool
Hartlepool 0 - 0 Gillingham