Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Boreham Wood
Braintree Town
Carlisle United
Eastleigh
Forest Green Rovers
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Morecambe
Rochdale
Scunthorpe United
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Altrincham
National League | Gameweek 11
Sep 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
The J. Davidson Stadium
Ebbsfleet United

Altrincham
6 - 1
Ebbsfleet

Newby (4'), Baines (15', 90+5'), Donawa (31'), Conn (45', 90+1')
Amaluzor (24'), Jones (68')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Odokonyero (41')
Cisse (7')
Coverage of the National League clash between Altrincham and Ebbsfleet.

Form, Standings, Stats

Altrincham

All competitions
Last Game: Altrincham 2-2 Hartlepool
Tuesday, September 19 at 7.45pm in National League

Ebbsfleet

All competitions
Last Game: Woking 1-1 Ebbsfleet
Tuesday, September 19 at 7.45pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.77%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 2-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
AltrinchamDrawEbbsfleet
32.82% (1.124 1.12)24.79% (0.067 0.07)42.39% (-1.189 -1.19)
Both teams to score 57.7% (0.215 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.61% (0.083999999999996 0.08)45.4% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.27% (0.079000000000001 0.08)67.73% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Altrincham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.45% (0.746 0.75)26.55% (-0.745 -0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.24% (0.979 0.98)61.76% (-0.977 -0.98)
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.55% (-0.511 -0.51)21.45% (0.512 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.54% (-0.792 -0.79)54.47% (0.794 0.79)
Score Analysis
    Altrincham 32.82%
    Ebbsfleet 42.39%
    Draw 24.78%
AltrinchamDrawEbbsfleet
2-1 @ 7.71% (0.175 0.18)
1-0 @ 7.55% (0.132 0.13)
2-0 @ 5.01% (0.19 0.19)
3-1 @ 3.41% (0.147 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.62% (0.074 0.07)
3-0 @ 2.21% (0.128 0.13)
4-1 @ 1.13% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 32.82%
1-1 @ 11.62% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.93% (0.044 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.7% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.35% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.78%
1-2 @ 8.95% (-0.122 -0.12)
0-1 @ 8.77% (-0.168 -0.17)
0-2 @ 6.75% (-0.238 -0.24)
1-3 @ 4.59% (-0.135 -0.14)
0-3 @ 3.46% (-0.178 -0.18)
2-3 @ 3.05% (-0.025 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.77% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.33% (-0.091 -0.09)
2-4 @ 1.17% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 42.39%