National League | Gameweek 5

Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK

Stonebridge Road

Ebbsfleet
3 - 0
Kidderminster

Poleon (23', 30'), O'Neill (45+3')
Solly (22')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Penny (24')
Penny (34')

Coverage of the National League clash between Ebbsfleet and Kidderminster Harriers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ebbsfleet

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Gateshead 4-1 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Kidderminster Harriers

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Kidderminster 0-0 Bromley
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 52.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 23.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Kidderminster Harriers win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.

Result
Ebbsfleet	Draw	Kidderminster Harriers
52.1% ( 0.45)	24.39% ( -0.14)	23.51% ( -0.31)

Both teams to score 52.12% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.44% (

0.25)

49.55% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.42% (

0.22)

71.58% (

-0.23)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81% (

0.27)

18.99% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.45% (

0.45)

50.54% (

-0.45)

Kidderminster Harriers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.34% (

-0.14)

35.66% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.57% (

-0.15)

72.43% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Ebbsfleet 52.1%

Kidderminster Harriers 23.51%

Draw 24.39%

Ebbsfleet	Draw	Kidderminster Harriers
1-0 @ 11.25% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.34% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.34% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.1% Total : 52.1%	1-1 @ 11.6% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.39%	0-1 @ 6.98% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.94% Total : 23.51%