Aldershot Town
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Boreham Wood
Braintree Town
Carlisle United
Eastleigh
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Gateshead
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Hartlepool United
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Rochdale
Scunthorpe United
Solihull Moors
Southend United
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Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Rochdale
National League | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Crown Oil Arena
Ebbsfleet United

Rochdale
0 - 1
Ebbsfleet


Clayton (27'), John (80')
FT(HT: 0-1)
O'Neill (36')
Cisse (30'), O'Neill (49'), Clifford (67'), Domi (90+9'), Wright (90+9')
Coverage of the National League clash between Rochdale and Ebbsfleet.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions
Last Game: Harrogate 1-1 Rochdale
Monday, May 8 at 12.30pm in League Two

Ebbsfleet

All competitions
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 5-0 Hungerford
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 42.54%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-0 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Ebbsfleet in this match.

Result
RochdaleDrawEbbsfleet
32.53% (-4.658 -4.66)24.93% (0.369 0.37)42.54% (4.287 4.29)
Both teams to score 57.1% (-2.273 -2.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.87% (-2.55 -2.55)46.13% (2.548 2.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.57% (-2.455 -2.46)68.43% (2.453 2.45)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.91% (-3.869 -3.87)27.09% (3.867 3.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.53% (-5.341 -5.34)62.47% (5.341 5.34)
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.31% (0.98100000000001 0.98)21.69% (-0.982 -0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.16% (1.48 1.48)54.84% (-1.481 -1.48)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 32.53%
    Ebbsfleet 42.54%
    Draw 24.92%
RochdaleDrawEbbsfleet
1-0 @ 7.67% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.66% (-0.67 -0.67)
2-0 @ 5.01% (-0.6 -0.6)
3-1 @ 3.33% (-0.719 -0.72)
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.459 -0.46)
3-0 @ 2.18% (-0.55 -0.55)
4-1 @ 1.09% (-0.391 -0.39)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 32.53%
1-1 @ 11.72% (0.32 0.32)
0-0 @ 5.88% (0.611 0.61)
2-2 @ 5.85% (-0.328 -0.33)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.19 -0.19)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.92%
0-1 @ 8.98% (1.166 1.17)
1-2 @ 8.96% (0.497 0.5)
0-2 @ 6.86% (1.065 1.07)
1-3 @ 4.57% (0.378 0.38)
0-3 @ 3.5% (0.628 0.63)
2-3 @ 2.98% (-0.076 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.75% (0.191 0.19)
0-4 @ 1.34% (0.272 0.27)
2-4 @ 1.14% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 42.54%