National League Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Crown Oil Arena
  • Adam Clayton 27' yellowcard
  • Cameron John 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ousseynou Cisse 30'
  • goal Luke O'Neill 36'
  • yellowcard Luke O'Neill 49'
  • yellowcard Billy Clifford 67'
  • yellowcard Franklin Domi 90'+9'
  • yellowcard Josh Wright 90'+9'

Rochdale vs Ebbsfleet - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Kairo Mitchell

Ebbsfleet

All competitions
Last game
Apr 25, 2020 5.20pm
Aldershot 0 - 0 Ebbsfleet
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Dominic Poleon

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 42.54%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-0 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Ebbsfleet in this match.

Result

Rochdale 32.53% (-4.66)
Draw 24.93% (+0.37)
Ebbsfleet 42.54% (+4.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.1% (-2.28)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.87% (-2.56)
Under 2.5 46.13% (+2.55)
Over 3.5 31.57% (-2.46)
Under 3.5 68.43% (+2.46)
Over 4.5 15.77% (-1.78)
Under 4.5 84.23% (+1.78)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5 72.91% (-3.87)
Under 0.5 27.09% (+3.87)
Over 1.5 37.53% (-5.35)
Under 1.5 62.47% (+5.35)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5 78.31% (+0.99)
Under 0.5 21.69% (-0.99)
Over 1.5 45.16% (+1.48)
Under 1.5 54.84% (-1.49)

Score analysis

Rochdale 32.53%
Draw 24.92%
Ebbsfleet 42.54%
Rochdale
1-0 @ 7.67% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 7.66% (-0.67)
2-0 @ 5.01% (-0.60)
3-1 @ 3.33% (-0.72)
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.46)
3-0 @ 2.18% (-0.55)
4-1 @ 1.09% (-0.40)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 32.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.72% (+0.33)
0-0 @ 5.88% (+0.62)
2-2 @ 5.85% (-0.33)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.19)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.92%
Ebbsfleet
0-1 @ 8.98% (+1.17)
1-2 @ 8.96% (+0.50)
0-2 @ 6.86% (+1.07)
1-3 @ 4.57% (+0.38)
0-3 @ 3.5% (+0.63)
2-3 @ 2.98% (-0.08)
1-4 @ 1.75% (+0.20)
0-4 @ 1.34% (+0.28)
2-4 @ 1.14% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 42.54%