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Rochdale
League Two | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
Crown Oil Arena
Sutton United

Rochdale
4 - 1
Sutton

Rodney (8', 56'), Brierley (25'), Keohane (50')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Wilson (38')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Rochdale and Sutton United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 1-0 Rochdale
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 4-1 Sutton
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-0 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
RochdaleDrawSutton United
33.72% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)27.71% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)38.57% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 48.47% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.67% (0.043999999999997 0.04)57.33% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.84% (0.035999999999998 0.04)78.16% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.12% (0.007000000000005 0.01)31.88% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.67% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)68.32% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.15% (0.043000000000006 0.04)28.85% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.28% (0.052999999999997 0.05)64.71% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 33.71%
    Sutton United 38.57%
    Draw 27.71%
RochdaleDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 10.51% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.47% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 6.01% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.85% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.77% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 33.71%
1-1 @ 13.07%
0-0 @ 9.2% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.64% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.71%
0-1 @ 11.43%
1-2 @ 8.12% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.11% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 3.37% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.94% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 0.92% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 38.57%

Head to Head
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
gameweek 19
Sutton
1-0
Rochdale
Randall (38')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
gameweek 35
Sutton
3-0
Rochdale
Boldewijn (12', 45+2'), Kizzi (57')
Milsom (78')

O'Connell (22'), Dorsett (41')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
gameweek 14
Rochdale
3-2
Sutton
Newby (23'), Kelly (66'), Morley (90+5')
Olaofe (82'), Smith (90')
Bennett (45+2')