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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Colchester United
Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Forest Green Rovers
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Mansfield Town
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Salford City
Stockport County
Sutton United
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Wrexham AFC
Rochdale
League Two | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
Crown Oil Arena
Sutton United

Rochdale
4 - 1
Sutton

Rodney (8', 56'), Brierley (25'), Keohane (50')
Odoh (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Wilson (38')
Beautyman (64'), Smith (83')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Rochdale and Sutton United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 1-0 Rochdale
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 4-1 Sutton
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-0 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
RochdaleDrawSutton United
33.72% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 27.71% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 38.57% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 48.47% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.67% (0.043999999999997 0.04)57.33% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.84% (0.035999999999998 0.04)78.16% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.12% (0.007000000000005 0.01)31.88% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.67% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)68.32% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.15% (0.043000000000006 0.04)28.85% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.28% (0.052999999999997 0.05)64.71% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 33.71%
    Sutton United 38.57%
    Draw 27.71%
RochdaleDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 10.51% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.47% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 6.01% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.85% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.77% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 33.71%
1-1 @ 13.07%
0-0 @ 9.2% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.64% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.71%
0-1 @ 11.43%
1-2 @ 8.12% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.11% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 3.37% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.94% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 0.92% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 38.57%

Head to Head
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
gameweek 19
Sutton
1-0
Rochdale
Randall (38')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
gameweek 35
Sutton
3-0
Rochdale
Boldewijn (12', 45+2'), Kizzi (57')
Milsom (78')

O'Connell (22'), Dorsett (41')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
gameweek 14
Rochdale
3-2
Sutton
Newby (23'), Kelly (66'), Morley (90+5')
Olaofe (82'), Smith (90')
Bennett (45+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport442611791444789
4MK Dons442281474611374
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe441913126861770
6BarrowBarrow431814115849968
7Crawley TownCrawley44206186965466
8Walsall441811156665165
9Doncaster RoversDoncaster43197176363064
10Gillingham44189174353-1063
11AFC Wimbledon4416141457471062
12Harrogate TownHarrogate441711165562-762
13Bradford CityBradford431612155255-360
14Notts County44177208885358
15Morecambe44179186376-1357
16Newport CountyNewport44167216171-1055
17Tranmere RoversTranmere44166226364-154
18Accrington StanleyAccrington44159205766-954
19Swindon TownSwindon441411197478-453
20Salford City441211216380-1747
21Grimsby Town441016185572-1746
22Colchester UnitedColchester431111215774-1744
23Sutton UnitedSutton44913225378-2540
RForest Green RoversForest Green4499264177-3636


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