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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-0 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rochdale | Draw | Sutton United |
| 33.72% ( | 27.71% ( | 38.57% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.47% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.67% ( | 57.33% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.84% ( | 78.16% ( |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.12% ( | 31.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.67% ( | 68.32% ( |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.15% ( | 28.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.28% ( | 64.71% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rochdale | Draw | Sutton United |
| 1-0 @ 10.51% ( 2-1 @ 7.47% ( 2-0 @ 6.01% ( 3-1 @ 2.85% ( 3-0 @ 2.29% ( 3-2 @ 1.77% ( Other @ 2.82% Total : 33.71% | 1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 9.2% ( 2-2 @ 4.64% ( Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.71% | 0-1 @ 11.43% 1-2 @ 8.12% ( 0-2 @ 7.11% ( 1-3 @ 3.37% ( 0-3 @ 2.94% ( 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0-4 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 1.71% Total : 38.57% |