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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-0 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rochdale | Draw | Walsall |
| 30.9% ( | 27.36% ( | 41.74% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.71% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.34% ( | 56.66% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.37% ( | 77.62% ( |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.5% ( | 33.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.87% ( | 70.13% ( |
| Walsall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.24% ( | 26.76% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.96% ( | 62.04% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rochdale | Draw | Walsall |
| 1-0 @ 9.8% ( 2-1 @ 7.07% ( 2-0 @ 5.36% 3-1 @ 2.58% ( 3-0 @ 1.96% ( 3-2 @ 1.7% ( Other @ 2.43% Total : 30.9% | 1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 8.96% ( 2-2 @ 4.66% ( Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.36% | 0-1 @ 11.81% ( 1-2 @ 8.52% ( 0-2 @ 7.79% ( 1-3 @ 3.74% ( 0-3 @ 3.42% ( 2-3 @ 2.05% ( 1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.04% Total : 41.73% |