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Championship header 2

League Two

Grimsby Town
League Two | Gameweek 36
Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Blundell Park
Rochdale

Grimsby Town
1 - 0
Rochdale

Lloyd (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Rochdale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Grimsby Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-1 Newport
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in League Two

Rochdale

All competitions
Last Game: Rochdale 2-0 Stevenage
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 47.56%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 25.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Grimsby Town in this match.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawRochdale
47.56% (0.037999999999997 0.04)26.8% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)25.64% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 47.16% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.9% (0.043000000000006 0.04)57.09% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.03% (0.035 0.04)77.97% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.96% (0.036999999999992 0.04)24.04% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.69% (0.053000000000004 0.05)58.31% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.08% (0.0039999999999978 0)37.92% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)74.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 47.56%
    Rochdale 25.64%
    Draw 26.8%
Grimsby TownDrawRochdale
1-0 @ 12.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.26% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 8.98% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.4% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.27% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.07% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.57% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.52% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 47.56%
1-1 @ 12.6%
0-0 @ 9.12% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.36% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 26.8%
0-1 @ 8.84% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.11% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.98%
2-3 @ 1.41% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.39% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 25.64%

Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Rochdale
0-1
Grimsby Town

Ebanks-Landell (37'), Seriki (46'), Nelson (49'), Tulloch (60')
Waterfall (90+2')
Clifton (29'), Morris (45+3')
Aug 14, 2018 7.45pm
First Round
Grimsby Town
0-2
Rochdale

Welsh (69')
Rathbone (39', 79')
McNulty (67')
Mar 27, 2010 3pm
Rochdale
4-1
Grimsby Town
Thompson (17'), Dagnall (20', 41', 90')
O'Grady (59')
Chambers (43')
Atkinson (79')
Oct 17, 2009 3pm
Grimsby Town
0-2
Rochdale

Wood (58'), Bore (87')
O'Grady (85'), Rundle (24')
Feb 28, 2009 3pm
Rochdale
2-0
Grimsby Town
Rundle (5'), Le Fondre (12')
Stanton (36')

Clarke (48'), Henderson (90')
rhs 2.0


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